Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIRK-18 in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados from 22 Sep 2018 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2018 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRK-18

in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRK-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (27 Sep 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (St. Vincent & the Grenadines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 610000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	22 Sep 2018 15:00	93	No people	No people
2	22 Sep 2018 21:00	93	290 thousand	No people	Barbados
3	23 Sep 2018 03:00	93	290 thousand	No people	Barbados
4	23 Sep 2018 09:00	93	480 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
5	23 Sep 2018 15:00	93	560 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6	23 Sep 2018 21:00	93	610 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
7	24 Sep 2018 03:00	65	610 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	22 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	8.3, -23.6
2	22 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	8.6, -24.8
3	23 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9, -26.4
4	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.1, -28
5	23 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.3, -30.2
6	23 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.5, -32.3
7	24 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.4, -35.5
7	24 Sep 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.8, -39
7	25 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	10, -43.2
7	25 Sep 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	10.3, -47.2
7	26 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	10.6, -50.6
7	27 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	560000 people	11.7, -56.2	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
7	28 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	610000 people	13, -60.5	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
7	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14, -65

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Barbados
St. Lucia
St. Vincent & the Grenadines
Grenada

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Barbados	Barbados
St. Lucia	Saint Lucia
St. Vincent & the Grenadines	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Grenada	Grenada

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Bridgetown	Saint Michael	Barbados	Capital	97000 people
Castries	Castries	St. Lucia	Capital	13000 people
Kingstown	Saint George	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	Capital	18000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Grantley Adams International	BGI	52	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11000
Hewanorra International	UVF	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9000
Vigie	SLU	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6200
E T Joshua	SVD	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4600
J F Mitchell		4	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Canouan		5	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Palm Island	PLI	unknown				0
Union Island	UNI	unknown				0
Carriacou	CRU	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Bridgetown	BBBGI	Barbados
Speightstown		Barbados
Vieux Fort		Saint Lucia
Castries	LCSLU	Saint Lucia
Cul de Sac Bay	LCCDS	Saint Lucia
Kingstown	VCKTN	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Admiralty Bay		Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Saint Lawrence Gap, Barbados. This height is estimated for 27 Sep 2018 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (63 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 24 Sep 2018 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Saint Lawrence Gap	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Oistins	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Gibbons	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Bridgetown	Barbados	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Mustique	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Calliaqua	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Sam Lord's Castle	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Holetown	Barbados	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Georgetown	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Union	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Speightstown	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Mullins Bay	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Collins	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Bathsheba	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	San Fernando	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	26 Sep 2018 16:00	Burnside	Suriname	0.2
	26 Sep 2018 16:00	Totness	Suriname	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 00:00	Cacandee Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Canouan	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Kingstown	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Chateaubelair	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 23:00	Carapichaima	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 02:00	Hyacinthe	Martinique	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 00:00	Port-of-Spain	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Engagement Umbrella	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Fancy	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 02:00	Anbre	St. Lucia	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	California	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 17:00	Nieuw Amsterdam	Suriname	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 02:00	Dibe	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Belle Garden	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Speyside	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 13:00	Plaisance	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Hermitage	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Grande Riviere	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Salibea	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Rampanalgas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Redhead	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Matelot	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Argyle	Grenada	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	L'Appelle	Grenada	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Ashton	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 21:00	La Linea	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Mount Pleasant	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Scarborough	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Castara	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 02:00	La Retraite	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Coolie Block	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	La Pastora	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Las Cuevas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Blanchisseuse	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 02:00	Bosquet d'Or	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 02:00	Sainte-Anne	Martinique	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 02:00	Castries	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 02:00	Cap Estate	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 02:00	Vieux Fort	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Soufriere	St. Lucia	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 16:00	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 08:00	Ponta Curua	Brazil	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 17:00	Organabo	French Guiana	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	San Juan de las Galdonas	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	San Juan	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Unare	Venezuela	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.